Mike Ward: Irregular Leadership Changes in 2014 and beyond


International Methods Colloquium Talk on March 20th, 2015.

Michael D. Ward (Duke University), "Irregular Leadership Changes in 2014 and beyond: Forecasts using ensemble, split-population duration models."

Presentation slides are available at this link and the relevant paper is available here.

#video #irregularleadershipchanges #splitpopulationdurationmodel #ensembleBayesianmodelaveraging #forecasting

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